A glimpse of the development trend of commercial vehicles in 2022


The commercial vehicle market in 2021 was ups and downs, and what will be the characteristics of the commercial vehicle industry in 2022?

Commercial vehicle sales raised and fell in 2021

According to the express data of various commercial vehicle companies, in 2021, the total sales volume of commercial vehicles in our country was 4.8 million units, a year-on-year decrease of 6.4%. Among them, the cumulative sales of heavy trucks was 1.39 million units, a year-on-year decrease of 14.1%, which was the sector with the largest decline.

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Truck companies perform differently

From the perspective of the sales volume of heavy trucks in 2021, FAW Jiefang sold 343,800 units in total, achieving the sixth consecutive annual sales of domestic heavy trucks; Sinotruk's monthly sales in the second half of 2021 maintained the "six consecutive championships", with sales reaching 285,300 units, a success Jumped to the second place; Dongfeng Company sold 264,600 vehicles a year, ranking third.

 

Diesel heavy truck "12 consecutive increase"

Since entering the era of "Comprehensive National VI", the heavy truck market has weakened as a whole, but the proportion of new National VI vehicles has been increasing month by month. From January to December 2021, the China VI diesel heavy truck market has sold 240,000 units, an increase of 183% over the same period in 2020.

 

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Facing difficulties positively ahead

In the first half of 2022, due to the influence of the base, the pressure of chip supply, and the influence of the blue card policy for light commercial vehicles, it is predicted that the commercial vehicle market may be sluggish in the first half of 2022, but the growth momentum will resume in the second half of the year. The overall trend of the commercial vehicle market will show a market trend of "low before and high".

 

1 Economic level

Taking into account potential growth rate, epidemic situation and base factors, steady economic growth will support the steady operation of the auto market.

 

2 Policy Level

The policy of increasing infrastructure and expanding consumption will stimulate the market to recover, and the new energy support development policy is still the focus.

 

3 Market levels

The supply of new energy vehicles will still drive market growth. It is worth noting that although the overall supply of chips has eased, it is still the main factor restraining demand.

A new round of industry standards and regulations will also be implemented closely.

Strive to get a glimpse of the vane of industrial development.

(1) Implementation of the new national standard for motor vehicle inspection

(2) New energy vehicles are exempt from vehicle purchase tax

(3) Carbon Peak Action Plan Released

(4) 16 ministries and commissions jointly issued a document to protect the rights and interests of truck drivers

(5) In some provinces and cities, the National V diesel vehicles can be postponed to be licensed

(6) Encourage urban distribution trucks to appropriately relax restrictions

(VII) Steady promotion of self-driving passenger travel services

(8) The implementation of the new blue card light truck regulations is imminent

(9) From 2022, China V diesel vehicles will be prohibited from entering the factory for loading and unloading

(10) Action plans for 66 cities released

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Multinational car companies join, competition will intensify

Superimposed on the liberalized commercial vehicle share ratio restriction policy, Volvo, Daimler, Scania and other car companies are deeply participating in China's mid-to-high-end commercial vehicle market. Whether these manufacturers are based on brand influence based on full life cycle value positioning , The successful experience of global management, or the ability to operate the entire industry chain, is better than that of domestic commercial vehicle companies.

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The transformation of new energy commercial vehicles is accelerating

In view of the operation of the domestic commercial vehicle market, by 2022, the market demand, the promotion of the dual-carbon strategy, the promotion of the phase-out of National IV models in some provinces and cities, and the comprehensive situation of new energy subsidies, the new energy commercial vehicle market will gain momentum for growth.

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Intelligent network connection application increases

With the transformation and upgrading of China's automobile industry, automobile intelligence has become an important part of the new ecosystem of the automobile industry.

 

Lightweight is the trend. Commercial vehicle companies should not be limited to the traditional weight reduction methods of new materials, new technologies, and new structures, but should start with the reasonable load-bearing of light trucks, start with body design, and reduce the weight of parts, comply with regulations and Lightweight commercial vehicles are the mainstream of future logistics and transportation.

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"Ensuring growth and seeking stability" has become the mainstream

It is expected that in 2022, the global economic growth rate will gradually fall back to normal, with intensified supply chain bottlenecks, increased inflationary pressures, and increased risks of global stagflation. The factors supporting the growth of my country's foreign trade exports have weakened, and the export volume is likely to decline in 2022.

 

In 2022, overcoming many difficulties and striving to maintain stability is the main tone.

 

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